Strategies

NFL Draftkings Lineup Construction for Week 12

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A solid cash game approach was suggested last week and the same approach applies here to turn a profit.  Here is a plan for $20 worth of entries and you can adjust your plan up or down based on how much of your bankroll you are committing to week 12.  Of the $20 of entries, enter 14 $1 Head to Head games, 3 $1 3 man leagues, 2 $1 5 man leagues, and 1 $1 GPP.  This is a safe cash game lineup.  Although this combination works below be aware of late news that could change the approach.  Monitor all situations come Sunday morning.

Cash Game Lineup:

QB Brian Hoyer $5000

RB Thomas Rawls $4500

RB Spencer Ware $3800

WR Odell Beckham Jr. $8700

WR DeAndre Hopkins $9100

WR Julio Jones $9400

TE Crockett Gillmore $3700

WR Shaun Draughn $3800

DST Cleveland Browns $2000

Quarterback Breakdown:

Brian Hoyer is everyone’s darling selection at QB this week and at the price you can’t go wrong.  The last 4 QBs to play the New Orleans Defense were: Kirk Cousins 32 points, Marcus Mariota 36 points, Eli Manning 41 points and Andrew Luck 29 points.  Hoyer was averaging over 20 fantasy points per game before going down with a concussion.  Additionally he is throwing to one of the top WR options in the NFL in DeAndre Hopkins so a stack play in a solid choice.

Running Back Breakdown:

The cash game RB options this week are plentiful.  Pay close attention to Tevin Coleman, Thomas Rawls, Shaun Draughn, Javorius Allen, Ahmad Bradshaw, Spencer Ware, and Alfred Blue.  The combination of Rawls, Ware and Draughn work with the salary available.  Rawls has started two games this year and produced big numbers both times.  He is undoubtedly the #1 RB but the matchup is tough vs Pittsburgh who boasts the 2nd best run defense vs RBs.  We still like Rawls as the home favorite and Seattle expected to score 24.75 by Vegas.  Ware is in the best matchup but we need to make sure Charcandrick West is out.  Kansas City is also a home favorite playing against a middle of the road run defense like the Buffalo Bills but with the way Kansas City features the RB in the run game and screen pass game you have to like Ware to outperform his cost.  The 3rd RB selection is Shaun Draughn who is getting the workhorse load in San Francisco so he should also see the touches to pay off his price.  Monitor the player news Sunday morning as other options were listed earlier in the RB breakdown who can be swapped in if needed.

Wide Receiver Breakdown:

These high priced WRs have such great matchups that we want them all and are willing to pay down at RB to fit them in this week.  Permanent marker these guys into your lineup: Odell Beckham, DeAndre Hopkins, and Julio Jones.  Beckham is facing off with a Washington pass defense that is allowing over 26 fantasy points per game to WRs and is 9th worst against WRs.  Beckham had over 100 yards and a TD in the 1st meeting vs the Washington Redskins are the Redskin secondary is banged up.  This is a big division game in which the Giants are playing for 1st place.  Expect them to feature Beckham in the passing game coming off their bye week.  DeAndre Hopkins did some great work vs Revis and the Jets last week. That just doesn’t happen to Revis.  Hopkins is a top WR option vs any corner but he has a great matchup vs New Orleans who has been giving it up in the air for weeks now.  Hopkins is the preferred stack play with Brian Hoyer and should produce plenty.  Julio Jones is playing at home and the Falcons are favored.  The Minnesota Vikings have been good vs WRs but Jones sheer volume and big play ability will be on full display in this tightly contested game.

Tight End Breakdown:

The Baltimore offense should have a new look moving forward with the losses of Joe Flacco and Justin Forsett.  Matt Schaub steps in at QB and the common theme among new QBs is the TE is their best friend.  We expect Crockett Gillmore to get very involved in the short passing game resulting in plenty of targets.  We also expect Gillmore to be a red zone threat and top option with the injuries on offense for the Baltimore Ravens.  He should have little trouble paying off that price tag.

Defense/Special Team Breakdown:

The Cleveland Browns defense is dirt cheap and could easily pay off this price tag.  Baltimore is starting a new QB and new RB for an already depleted offensive unit who has been struggling to find the end zone the past few weeks.  Cleveland can pressure the QB and create a few turnovers.

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