Now that Larry Fitzgerald and the Arizona offense largely disappointed the DFS community with that Monday night performance we can move on and prep for week 8. At 1st glance we have a bunch of guys in good matchups.
The two QBs that caught my eye were Philip Rivers and Cam Newton. Rivers, 9th highest price on Draftkings, is priced at $6,600 and has a good matchup vs Baltimore. The Baltimore pass defense is ranked bottom 5 in the league. Vegas set the line at 51 points in this game. I was able to stack Rivers with Green and Woodhead in some GPP lineups last week and it paid off nicely. Cam Newton also has a good matchup. The game is in Carolina, Newton is always a threat for running yards especially in the red zone so a rushing TD would add value, and the Indy pass defense is nothing special. Vegas set the line at 46 points which I think is low for this game. Andrew Luck looked better last week and the run game just isn’t there for Indy so they go to the air early and often. Cam is $6,800 on Draftkings and is the 5th highest priced QB. Other QBs I like this week include Brian Hoyer with his WR weapons, Eli Manning who could get himself into a shootout in his return home to New Orleans and Matthew Stafford in a stack with Calvin Johnson which makes for a nice GPP play.
Devonta Freeman has a matchup that he can exploit. His price has steadily risen so you’ll have to pay up for him at $8,000. Tampa Bay has been getting itself involved in some shootouts and has the offensive weapons to keep up with Atlanta if Winston doesn’t turn it over. Vegas set the line at 48 points. Another guy I like is Todd Gurley who is underpriced by all standards. He is seeing 20+ touches at this point and scored 2 TDs this past week. San Francisco is giving up the 7th most points fantasy points to RBs this year and Gurley will get his shot to attack them at a cool $6,300. My early value pick of the week has to be Darren McFadden at $3,800. He got 29 carries vs the Giants last week and went for 152 yards and a score. With Joseph Randle hurt and Christine Michael not getting carries we could see another big game out of McFadden.
If you are playing the Thursday slate consider Jarvis Landry at $6,200 the top option. Vegas projects this game to hit 51 points and with New England favored by 7.5 points we would conclude Miami will be playing from behind. I like Landry to rack up catches and most likely he’ll get a score. I mentioned Calvin Johnson at $7,900 earlier in a potential stack with Stafford so I might as well mention him here. Two weeks ago the winning millionaire lineup used the Stafford/Johnson stack. Detroit fired most of their offensive coaches and now has a new offensive coordinator. Detroit’s team total is only 20 points and I think that is low for them against a Kansas City defense who has been burned a few times via the pass. Add the fact that Detroit has done nothing on the game with the running game and I can see them using the pass quite a bit this week. The last WR I want to mention is Julio Jones at $9,200. He looks healthy again after the injury concerns to his hamstring and scored a TD last weekend. He has a great matchup vs Tampa Bay who has also been burned by WRs as they give up 27+ pints to the position on average.
Travis Kelce gets a shot against the worst fantasy defense in the NFL and will only cost you $5,000. Detroit is giving up over 86 fantasy points per game to opposing offenses and Kelce is the #1 weapon in this Kansas City passing game in the red zone. I like Kelce if you are going to spend up and Ladarius Green if you want a minimum priced TE. He will only cost you $3,000 and is a must start if Antonio Gates can’t play.
My top 3 options on defense include St. Louis $3,200, Seattle $3,700, and Arizona $4,000 in that order. St. Louis came up big in week 7 and helped me to a very profitable week. St. Louis takes on San Francisco with a team total of 15.75 points this week which is the lowest team total of the week. They are fresh off a 24-6 win over Cleveland in which they held the Browns to 6 points.