The approach this week is to play one cash game lineup on Draftkings. Here is a plan for $20 worth of entries and you can adjust your plan up or down based on how much of your bankroll you are committing to week 11. Of the $20 of entries, enter 14 $1 Head to Head games, 3 $1 3 man leagues, 2 $1 5 man leagues, and 1 $1 GPP. This is a safe cash game lineup with a few late active/inactives to keep an eye on this Sunday.
Cash Game Lineup:
QB Derek Carr $6300
RB DeMarco Murray $6000
RB Charcandrick West $4500
WR Mike Evans $7300
WR Calvin Johnson $7200
WR Demaryius Thomas $7300
TE Zach Ertz $3100
WR Danny Amendola $4000
DST Seattle Seahawks $4000
Derek Carr was the early week favorite to fill the QB spot and he is the selection. Other QBs that received consideration were Carson Palmer, Cam Newton, and Matthew Stafford. Carr is 2nd in QB fantasy points over the last 4 weeks, 1st in TDs and 3rd in yards. Carr spread the ball around and had 10 offensive players catch passes last week. He has two stud WRs on the outside in Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree but the decision was to play a naked Derek Carr this week in cash.
Running Back Breakdown:
The cash RBs this week are DeMarco Murray and Charcandrick West. Murray was selected largely because of his talent but also because he will see an increased workload with Ryan Matthews ruled out for week 11. The Philadelphia Eagles are a home favorite and Murray has a solid floor in PPR formats with the passes he will catch out of the backfield. Charcandrick West was a monster last week and has a great matchup this week vs the San Diego Chargers who rank dead last in fantasy points given up to opposing RBs. West gets over 80% of the snaps at RB and is also used in the passing game so he also has a high floor this week. Other RBs who were considered include Darren McFadden, LeSean McCoy, Todd Gurley, and Adrian Peterson. McFadden was in the early week lineup but groin issues made him too risky as he was limited in practice.
Wide Receiver Breakdown:
The three WR positions this week were filled by Mike Evans, Calvin Johnson, and Demaryius Thomas and a 4th WR was selected for the FLEX spot, Danny Amendola. Mike Evans gets a great matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles who are 5th worst vs WRs. Evans has seen 19 and 13 targets the last two weeks in which Vincent Jackson and Safarian-Jenkins have been out and both guys are out again this week in a paced up game vs the Eagles. Calvin Johnson has a great matchup vs the Oakland Raiders who are not able to matchup with his size and speed on the outside. Demaryius Thomas should benefit from the injured Peyton Manning sitting this week and strong armed, 6’8 Brock Osweiler behind center who connected with Thomas for 7 catches and 71 yards after taking over last week. Denver may also be without Emmanuel Sanders who is injured so Thomas seems destined for a big share of the passing game. Danny Amendola was an easy selection to outperform his cost. The Patriots are without Dion Lewis and Julian Edelman at this point so Amendola expects to pick up the slack much like he did last week vs the Giants to the tune of 10 catches for 79 yards so PPR points will provide a safe floor.
Tight End Breakdown:
The cash game TE selection is Zach Ertz and he’s trending in the right direction. Most importantly he has a history with Mark Sanchez dating back to last year. Ertz has averaged 8 targets per game over the last 4 weeks and received 10 targets last week. Philadelphia is also employing their “12” package more often which means they lineup with two TEs on the field. Other TE options include Gronk which you would need to really pay up for or cheaper options like Ebron, Tamme, or Gillmore but Ertz is in a great spot at home vs Tampa Bay.
Defense/Special Team Breakdown:
The chalk defensive selection of the week is the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle is the home 13 point favorite vs San Francisco. San Francisco has a team total of 13.50 points this week and they should not even score that many if Seattle is on its game at home in this division rivalry. The X FACTOR is the Seattle return game which presents great fantasy point potential from a Tyler Lockett return TD on kickoffs or punts.